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Retail beef prices in the U.S. are at record highs, pushing up prices of beef-based products from burgers to steaks and steak tartare. Retail beef prices are currently hovering around record levels of about $8 per pound, according to data from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). "All consumers will be paying more for all beef products for several more years," Wells Fargo's Chief Agricultural Economist Michael Swanson told CNBC via email. "As cattlemen retain cows to rebuild the herd, there is a much lower supply of cattle to provide beef," Swanson said. With elevated cow slaughter, has come tighter cattle supplies, and an expectation that domestic cattle supplies will remain tight into the future.
Persons: That's, Wells, Michael Swanson, Swanson, Brandon Bell, Brian Earnest, Adam Speck, Speck Organizations: Portland Press Herald, Getty, CNBC, United States Department of Agriculture, USDA, Gro Locations: U.S, Texas, Kansas, Quemado , Texas, Gro Intelligence's
Higher chicken prices should improve earnings at top producers Tyson (TSN.N) and Pilgrim's Pride (PPC.O), but will pinch consumers' pockets as they try to save money by turning away from higher-end proteins. Arkansas-based Tyson, which sells all three types of meat, had to deal with a glut of chicken after earning massive profits when meat prices soared during the COVID-19 pandemic. The U.S. government last month trimmed its estimate for 2023 chicken production from August due in part to expectations for lower chick placements. "We've seen some recovery in chicken prices and we've seen some consumer prices start to level off," Tyson CFO John R. Tyson told investors last month. Further increases in chicken prices could threaten demand, said Adam Speck, senior commodity analyst for Gro Intelligence.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Tyson, Bob Brown, Brown, Donnie King, Arun Sundaram, Sundaram, We've, John R, Adam Speck, Bill Densmore, Tom Polansek, Caroline Stauffer, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Tyson Foods, U.S . Department of Agriculture, Rabobank, Producers, CFRA Research, Gro Intelligence, Fitch, Thomson Locations: Brooklyn, New, Arkansas, U.S, freezers ., Wilkesboro , North Carolina, Great
A contraction in beef supplies “has been coming for a while,” said David Anderson, a professor in Texas A&M University’s agricultural economics department. Beef supplies are shrinking after farmers sold off cattle in response to drought and high costs. The “big unknown is going to be consumer demand.”The beef supply tends to grow and shrink in roughly 10-year cycles, said Lance Zimmerman, senior beef analyst for the North American market with Rabobank. “If that’s the case, beef prices may be steadier.”And with food inflation stubbornly high, consumers are already cutting back on certain items, including beef. If demand remains strong, “we may see some higher beef prices,” towards the fall and later, Bernt said.
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